Musk's Razor

In a November 2018 interview with Kara Swisher on the Recode Decode podcast (transcript), Musk referenced a modification of Occam's Razor from his friend Jonathan Nolan ("the most ironic outcome is the most likely"), then added his own twist:

Well, it'd be ironic if [I die on Mars, just not on landing]. I have to be careful about tempting fate, because I think often the most ironic outcome is the most probable.

It just very often seems like reality tries to... Actually, technically, there's a friend of mine, Jonah Nolan, who had this like modification of Occam's razor where he said he thinks "the most ironic outcome is the most likely." And then I think that there's some truth to that. And then also I think sometimes the most entertaining outcome is the most likely.

I believe that in this glitchy simulation we call reality, the timeline clearly forked when Israeli pop legend Svika Pick became Quentin Tarantino's son's grandfather - proving once again that the most entertaining outcome is the most likely.